„Paul (Kraken), monkeys and pollsters – caught in the agony of choice“
Paul (Krake) – Wikipedia, heritage of the worlds greatest of all our fortune tellers.
A lot of American election poll graphics, even from german based data providers such as Statista, drive their numbers from the American provider „RealClearPolitics“ (RCP). RCP which actually doesn’t create any poll itself but aggreagates an average of other polls, using their own, unknown heuristic algorithms. These algorithms are absolutely trial and error based and not reliable in any mathematical way.
There is a broad discussion with numerous arguments, why election
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